March 4, 2012

Does Twitter Have Over 100 Million Users?

Each month, we look at Twitter’s growth based on total tweets and new user registrations. This data is supplied by Matthew Daines, the lead developer for our own Twitter app Twellow.

In March, the total tweets sent increased 29.8% over February, the largest month-over-month increase since July of last year. User registrations rose 19.3% over February. Tweets sent per registered user jumped almost 20% to 13.4.

Total Tweets in March

New user registrations on Twitter  in March

Twitter tweets per user registration in March

“I have a little survey script that I run now and then that queries Twitter for 1,000 random users, then I put together a few statistics based on the returns. I just ran it this morning and it came in at 20.3% suspended or non-existent,”  says Daines.

Survey Summary (Total Samples: 995)*

———————————————-

protected_users: 58 (5.83 %)

suspended_users: 99 (9.95 %)

missing_users: 103 (10.35 %)

active_day_users: 45 (4.52 %)

active_7day_users: 37 (3.72 %)

active_30day_users: 45 (4.52 %)

active_30plus_day_users: 279 (28.04 %)

non_active_users: 344 (34.57 %)

bio_users: 122 (12.26 %)

url_users: 77 (7.74 %)

location_users: 206 (20.70 %)


Survey Summary Adjusted (Total Samples: 735)

———————————————-

active_day_users: 45 (6.12 %)

active_7day_users: 37 (5.03 %)

active_30day_users: 45 (6.12 %)

active_30plus_day_users: 279 (37.96 %)

non_active_users: 344 (46.80 %)

bio_users: 122 (16.60 %)

url_users: 77 (10.48 %)

location_users: 206 (28.03 %)

active_day_users: User tweeting in the last 24 hours.

active_7day_users: Other users tweeting within last 7 days

active_30day_users: Other users tweeting within last 30 days

active_30plus_day_users: Other users tweeting beyond last 30 days

non_active_users: Users never posting a tweet

bio_users: Users that have entered a bio

url_users: Users that have entered a URL

location_users: Users that have entered a location

* 5 of the 1,000 returned failwhales

“When you take into account the likely suspended accounts at a rate of 20%, then the tweets per user is closer to 16,” says Daines. “Also, assuming the actual number suspended is around 20% of the total (as my previous surveys suggest), then the total actual number of Twitter users is around 102 million, so Twitter has very likely passed the 100 million user mark.”

As noted, there are some estimates and assumptions involved, so we’re not going to come right out and say as fact that Twitter has surpassed 100 million. If it has, that’s still only roughly a fourth of Facebook’s latest report of 400 million users. Either way, you can’t deny the strong growth that Twitter continues to display.

Related posts:

  1. Twitter Tweet Frequency on the Rise
  2. New Twitterers and Tweets Slow in February
  3. Twitter Sees Nearly 10% Growth in May
  4. Number of New Twitterers Increases Significantly
  5. NASA Connects Twitter Users To Space Shuttle Crew